Averages from grouped data, scatter graphs and correlation
By the end of this chapter you will be able to
- Find the mean, median, mode and range of a list of values, including from a set of data in order
- Find the midpoint of each class, and use midpoints to estimate the mean of grouped data
- Find the modal class and the class containing the median of grouped data
- Compare two sets of data using an average and the range
- Plot a scatter graph, describe the correlation, and use a line of best fit to make predictions
You should already know
- Mean, median, mode and range of small lists (Year 7)
- Frequency tables, and tallies (Year 7)
- Plotting coordinates and reading graphs (Year 8, Chapters 7 and 8)
Where this leads
- Cumulative frequency, histograms and box plots (GCSE)
- Correlation coefficient and regression lines (GCSE and A-level)
- Sampling and the reliability of statistical conclusions (GCSE)
National Curriculum for England, Key Stage 3 mathematics, Year 8. Content: Find the modal class, the class containing the median, and an estimate of the mean from a grouped frequency table, using midpoints, Compare distributions using averages and the range, Plot a scatter graph from a table, and describe correlation as positive, negative or none, Use a line of best fit by eye to interpolate and extrapolate, and discuss when extrapolation is not reliable.
Exercise P Do you remember?
Non-calculatorMethod. Multiply first, then add.
- Multiply. 3 × 4 = 12.12
- Add. 12 + 5 = 1717
Check. 17 − 5 = 12, and 12 ÷ 3 = 4.
Method. Compare the numbers and write them in order.
- Find the smallest. The smallest number is 2.2
- Continue in order. Then 4, 5 and 9.2, 4, 5, 9
- Write the answer. 2, 4, 5, 9
Check. Each number is bigger than the one before.
Method. Divide 40 by 8.
- Divide. 8 × 5 = 40.40 ÷ 8 = 5
- Write the answer. 5
Check. 5 × 8 = 40.
Method. The midpoint is halfway between two numbers.
- Add the two numbers. 4 + 10 = 14.14
- Halve the total. 14 ÷ 2 = 7.7
Check. 7 is 3 more than 4 and 3 less than 10.
Method. In an ordered list of five values, the middle is the third one.
- Count the values. There are five values.5
- Find the middle. The third value is the middle.8
- Write the answer. 8
Check. There are two values on each side of 8.
Mean, median, mode and range of a list
An average is one number that represents a set of data. There are three averages:
- mean = total ÷ number of values;
- median = the middle value, when the values are put in order;
- mode = the value that appears most often.
The range measures spread: range = biggest value − smallest value.
Key ideas
- Mean = total ÷ number of values.
- Median: put the values in order first, then find the middle (average the two middle values if there are an even number).
- Mode: the most common value. There can be more than one mode.
- Range = biggest − smallest.
Method. The mean is the total divided by the number of values.
- Add the values. Find the total of all the values.3 + 7 + 4 + 9 + 7 = 30
- Count the values. There are 5 values.n = 5
- Divide. Mean = total ÷ number of values.30 ÷ 5 = 6
- Write the answer. 6
Check. 6 × 5 = 30, the total.
Method. Put the values in order, then find the middle.
- Put the values in order. Write them from smallest to largest.1, 3, 4, 7, 9
- Find the middle. The middle value is the 3th value.n = 5
- Write the answer. 4
Check. There are 2 values below and 2 above the median.
Method. Count the values for the mode, and subtract the smallest from the biggest for the range.
- Find the mode. The value 3 appears twice; the others appear once.mode = 3
- Find the range. The biggest value is 7 and the smallest is 2.7 − 2 = 5
- Write the answer. Mode 3, range 5
Check. The mode is the most common, and the range is the spread.
Watch out
Watch out: the median needs the values in order first. Finding the middle of an unordered list is a common mistake.
Exam tip
Exam tip. Write the values in order before you find the median. For an even number of values, average the two middle ones.
Exercise 13A Mean, median, mode and range
Non-calculatorMethod. The mean is the total divided by the number of values.
- Add the values. Find the total of all the values.10 + 12 + 14 + 16 + 18 = 70
- Count the values. There are 5 values.n = 5
- Divide. Mean = total ÷ number of values.70 ÷ 5 = 14
- Write the answer. 14
Check. 14 × 5 = 70, the total.
Method. The mean is the total divided by the number of values.
- Add the values. Find the total of all the values.3 + 7 + 4 + 9 + 7 = 30
- Count the values. There are 5 values.n = 5
- Divide. Mean = total ÷ number of values.30 ÷ 5 = 6
- Write the answer. 6
Check. 6 × 5 = 30, the total.
Method. The mean is the total divided by the number of values.
- Add the values. Find the total of all the values.5 + 8 + 6 + 9 + 2 = 30
- Count the values. There are 5 values.n = 5
- Divide. Mean = total ÷ number of values.30 ÷ 5 = 6
- Write the answer. 6
Check. 6 × 5 = 30, the total.
Method. The mean is the total divided by the number of values.
- Add the values. Find the total of all the values.12 + 15 + 9 + 20 + 14 + 10 = 80
- Count the values. There are 6 values.n = 6
- Divide. Mean = total ÷ number of values.80 ÷ 6 = 40/3
- Write the answer. 40/3
Check. 40/3 × 6 = 80, the total.
Method. Put the values in order, then find the middle.
- Put the values in order. Write them from smallest to largest.1, 3, 4, 7, 9
- Find the middle. The middle value is the 3th value.n = 5
- Write the answer. 4
Check. There are 2 values below and 2 above the median.
Method. Put the values in order, then find the middle.
- Put the values in order. Write them from smallest to largest.2, 6, 8, 10
- Find the middle. There is no single middle value, so take the mean of the two middle values.n = 4
- Write the answer. 7
Check. Check the middle two values are used.
Method. Put the values in order, then find the middle.
- Put the values in order. Write them from smallest to largest.9, 11, 12, 14, 15, 20
- Find the middle. There is no single middle value, so take the mean of the two middle values.n = 6
- Write the answer. 13
Check. Check the middle two values are used.
Method. The mode is the value that appears most often.
- Count how often each value appears. Tally the values.2: 1, 3: 2, 5: 1, 7: 1
- Find the biggest count. The biggest count is 2.2
- Write the answer. 3
Check. Check: the value 3 appears 2 times, more than any other.
Method. The mode is the value that appears most often.
- Count how often each value appears. Tally the values.1: 1, 2: 2, 3: 2, 4: 1
- Find the biggest count. The biggest count is 2.2
- Write the answer. 2, 3
Check. Check: the value 2 appears 2 times, more than any other.
Method. The range is the biggest value minus the smallest value.
- Find the biggest value. Look for the largest number.9
- Find the smallest value. Look for the smallest number.1
- Subtract. Range = biggest − smallest.9 − 1 = 8
- Write the answer. 8
Check. 1 + 8 = 9.
Method. The range is the biggest value minus the smallest value.
- Find the biggest value. Look for the largest number.20
- Find the smallest value. Look for the smallest number.9
- Subtract. Range = biggest − smallest.20 − 9 = 11
- Write the answer. 11
Check. 9 + 11 = 20.
Method. Find the mean, and the range separately.
- Mean. (6 + 8 + 9 + 10 + 12) ÷ 5 = 45 ÷ 5 = 9.9
- Range. 12 − 6 = 6.6
- Write the answer. 9 and 6
Check. The mean is in the middle of the data.
Method. The total of four numbers is 4 × 6 = 24. Subtract the three known numbers.
- Find the total. Mean × number of values = 6 × 4 = 24.24
- Find the known total. 4 + 7 + 5 = 16.16
- Subtract. 24 − 16 = 8.8
Check. (4 + 7 + 5 + 8) ÷ 4 = 24 ÷ 4 = 6.
Method. Put the values in order first.
- Put the values in order. The ordered list is 1, 4, 7, 9.1, 4, 7, 9
- Find the middle. There are 4 values, so the median is the mean of the middle two: (4 + 7) ÷ 2 = 5.5.5.5
- Write the answer. Ali is not right, because the median is 5.5.No
Check. The median is not one of the original values here.
Method. Look at the values.
- Look at the values. Every value is 10.10, 10, 10, 10, 10
- Check each average. The mode, median and mean are all 10.10
- Write the answer. All are 10
Check. The range is 0 because there is no spread.
Grouped frequency tables
When data is grouped, we do not know the exact values. We use the midpoint of each class to estimate the mean.
To estimate the mean: multiply each frequency by its midpoint, add these totals, then divide by the total frequency.
The modal class is the class with the highest frequency. The median class is the class that contains the middle position, (n + 1) ÷ 2.
Key ideas
- The midpoint of a class is halfway between its two ends.
- Estimated mean = (sum of f × midpoint) ÷ (sum of f).
- Modal class = the class with the highest frequency.
- Median class = the class where the running total reaches (n + 1) ÷ 2.
Method. Estimate the mean with the midpoints: multiply each frequency by the midpoint, add, and divide by the total frequency.
- Find the midpoint of each class. The midpoint is the middle of the class, the mean of its two ends.5, 15, 25, 35
- Multiply each frequency by its midpoint. This gives an estimate of the total for each class.4 × 5 = 20, 6 × 15 = 90, 8 × 25 = 200, 2 × 35 = 70
- Add the totals. The total of all the frequencies is 20.Σfx = 380
- Divide. Estimated mean = Σfx ÷ Σf.380 ÷ 20 = 19
- Write the answer. 19
Check. The estimate is close to the mean of the midpoints weighted by the frequencies.
Method. The modal class is the class with the highest frequency.
- Find the highest frequency. Look down the frequency column.highest = 8
- Find its class. Read across to the class.20 < t ≤ 30
- Write the answer. 20 < t ≤ 30
Check. The modal class is the class, not the frequency.
Method. The median is in the class that contains the middle position, (n + 1) ÷ 2.
- Find the position of the median. n = 20, so the median is at position (20 + 1) ÷ 2 = 21/2.position 21/2
- Add the frequencies up to each class. Find the class where the running total reaches the position.running totals
- Write the answer. 20 < t ≤ 30
Check. Check the running total before the class is below the position.
Watch out
Watch out: the estimated mean is an estimate, because the exact values are not known. Use the midpoint, not the class label, when you multiply.
Exam tip
Exam tip. Write a column for the midpoint, a column for f × midpoint, and add a total row. This layout is what examiners look for.
Exercise 13B Grouped data: midpoints, modal and median classes
Non-calculator| Time (minutes) | Frequency |
|---|---|
| 0 < t ≤ 10 | 4 |
| 10 < t ≤ 20 | 6 |
| 20 < t ≤ 30 | 8 |
| 30 < t ≤ 40 | 2 |
Method. Estimate the mean with the midpoints: multiply each frequency by the midpoint, add, and divide by the total frequency.
- Find the midpoint of each class. The midpoint is the middle of the class, the mean of its two ends.5, 15, 25, 35
- Multiply each frequency by its midpoint. This gives an estimate of the total for each class.4 × 5 = 20, 6 × 15 = 90, 8 × 25 = 200, 2 × 35 = 70
- Add the totals. The total of all the frequencies is 20.Σfx = 380
- Divide. Estimated mean = Σfx ÷ Σf.380 ÷ 20 = 19
- Write the answer. 19
Check. The estimate is close to the mean of the midpoints weighted by the frequencies.
Method. The modal class is the class with the highest frequency.
- Find the highest frequency. Look down the frequency column.highest = 8
- Find its class. Read across to the class.20 < t ≤ 30
- Write the answer. 20 < t ≤ 30
Check. The modal class is the class, not the frequency.
Method. The median is in the class that contains the middle position, (n + 1) ÷ 2.
- Find the position of the median. n = 20, so the median is at position (20 + 1) ÷ 2 = 21/2.position 21/2
- Add the frequencies up to each class. Find the class where the running total reaches the position.running totals
- Write the answer. 20 < t ≤ 30
Check. Check the running total before the class is below the position.
| Score | Frequency |
|---|---|
| 0 – 4 | 2 |
| 5 – 9 | 2 |
| 10 – 14 | 4 |
| 15 – 19 | 2 |
Method. Estimate the mean with the midpoints: multiply each frequency by the midpoint, add, and divide by the total frequency.
- Find the midpoint of each class. The midpoint is the middle of the class, the mean of its two ends.2, 7, 12, 17
- Multiply each frequency by its midpoint. This gives an estimate of the total for each class.2 × 2 = 4, 2 × 7 = 14, 4 × 12 = 48, 2 × 17 = 34
- Add the totals. The total of all the frequencies is 10.Σfx = 100
- Divide. Estimated mean = Σfx ÷ Σf.100 ÷ 10 = 10
- Write the answer. 10
Check. The estimate is close to the mean of the midpoints weighted by the frequencies.
Method. The modal class is the class with the highest frequency.
- Find the highest frequency. Look down the frequency column.highest = 4
- Find its class. Read across to the class.10 – 14
- Write the answer. 10 – 14
Check. The modal class is the class, not the frequency.
Method. The median is in the class that contains the middle position, (n + 1) ÷ 2.
- Find the position of the median. n = 10, so the median is at position (10 + 1) ÷ 2 = 11/2.position 11/2
- Add the frequencies up to each class. Find the class where the running total reaches the position.running totals
- Write the answer. 10 – 14
Check. Check the running total before the class is below the position.
Method. Find the middle of the two ends.
- Add the ends. 20 + 30 = 50.50
- Halve the total. 50 ÷ 2 = 25.25
- Write the answer. 25
Check. The midpoint is 5 from each end.
Method. Estimate the mean using the midpoints 5 and 15.
- Multiply. 5 × 5 = 25 and 15 × 15 = 225.25 + 225 = 250
- Divide. Total f = 20, so 250 ÷ 20 = 12.5.12.5
- Write the answer. Ali is not right, because the mean is 12.5.No
Check. There are more values in the higher class, so the mean is above 10.
Method. Multiply, add, divide, and round.
- Multiply. 3 × 150 + 5 × 160 + 7 × 170 + 5 × 180 = 450 + 800 + 1190 + 900.3340
- Add the frequencies. 3 + 5 + 7 + 5 = 20.20
- Divide. 3340 ÷ 20 = 167.167
- Write the answer. 167 cm
Check. 167 is between 160 and 170, as the mean should be.
Method. The modal class is the one with the highest frequency.
- Look at the frequencies. The modal class has the biggest frequency.biggest frequency
- Compare with the middle. The highest frequency can be at either end, not only in the middle.any position
- Write the answer. It depends on the frequencies
Check. The modal class is about the frequency, not the position.
Method. Estimate the mean with the midpoints: multiply each frequency by the midpoint, add, and divide by the total frequency.
- Find the midpoint of each class. The midpoint is the middle of the class, the mean of its two ends.5, 15, 25, 35
- Multiply each frequency by its midpoint. This gives an estimate of the total for each class.4 × 5 = 20, 6 × 15 = 90, 8 × 25 = 200, 2 × 35 = 70
- Add the totals. The total of all the frequencies is 20.Σfx = 380
- Divide. Estimated mean = Σfx ÷ Σf.380 ÷ 20 = 19
- Write the answer. 19
Check. The estimate is close to the mean of the midpoints weighted by the frequencies.
Comparing two sets of data
When you compare two sets of data, always say something about the average (which is typical) and the spread (the range), in the context of the question.
Key ideas
- Compare averages to say which set is higher or lower overall.
- Compare ranges to say which set is more consistent (smaller range) or more spread out (larger range).
- Always write your conclusion in the context of the question.
- Use the same kind of average for both sets.
Method. The mean is the total divided by the number of values.
- Add the values. Find the total of all the values.6 + 8 + 9 + 10 + 12 = 45
- Count the values. There are 5 values.n = 5
- Divide. Mean = total ÷ number of values.45 ÷ 5 = 9
- Write the answer. 9
Check. 9 × 5 = 45, the total.
Method. The range is the biggest value minus the smallest value.
- Find the biggest value. Look for the largest number.11
- Find the smallest value. Look for the smallest number.7
- Subtract. Range = biggest − smallest.11 − 7 = 4
- Write the answer. 4
Check. 7 + 4 = 11.
Method. A smaller range means the scores are closer together.
- Compare the ranges. Class A has range 6 and class B has range 4.6 and 4
- Decide. Class B has the smaller range, so its scores are more consistent.B is more consistent
- Write the answer. Class B is more consistent
Check. The means are both 9, so the averages are the same; the spread is the difference.
Watch out
Watch out: equal means do not mean the same spread. Always check the range too.
Exam tip
Exam tip. Write a comparison using both the average and the spread, and add the context. For example: “On average ... but ... varies more.”
Exercise 13C Comparing two sets of data
Non-calculatorMethod. The mean is the total divided by the number of values.
- Add the values. Find the total of all the values.6 + 8 + 9 + 10 + 12 = 45
- Count the values. There are 5 values.n = 5
- Divide. Mean = total ÷ number of values.45 ÷ 5 = 9
- Write the answer. 9
Check. 9 × 5 = 45, the total.
Method. The mean is the total divided by the number of values.
- Add the values. Find the total of all the values.7 + 9 + 9 + 9 + 11 = 45
- Count the values. There are 5 values.n = 5
- Divide. Mean = total ÷ number of values.45 ÷ 5 = 9
- Write the answer. 9
Check. 9 × 5 = 45, the total.
Method. The range is the biggest value minus the smallest value.
- Find the biggest value. Look for the largest number.12
- Find the smallest value. Look for the smallest number.6
- Subtract. Range = biggest − smallest.12 − 6 = 6
- Write the answer. 6
Check. 6 + 6 = 12.
Method. The range is the biggest value minus the smallest value.
- Find the biggest value. Look for the largest number.11
- Find the smallest value. Look for the smallest number.7
- Subtract. Range = biggest − smallest.11 − 7 = 4
- Write the answer. 4
Check. 7 + 4 = 11.
Method. Compare the two averages and the two ranges.
- Compare the means. Both means are 9, so the typical score is the same.9 = 9
- Compare the ranges. Class B has range 4, and class A has range 6.4 < 6
- Write the answer. Class B is more consistent because its scores are closer together.Class B
Check. The smaller range shows the more consistent class.
Method. Find the mean and the range for each shop.
- Shop X mean. (10 + 12 + 14) ÷ 3 = 12.12
- Shop Y mean. (8 + 12 + 16) ÷ 3 = 12.12
- Ranges. Shop X: 14 − 10 = 4. Shop Y: 16 − 8 = 8.4 and 8
- Write the answer. The means are equal, but shop Y prices vary more.Both means are 12. Shop X has range 4 and shop Y has range 8.
Check. Shop Y has a bigger range, so its prices vary more.
Method. A bigger range means the marks are more spread out.
- Compare the ranges. The ranges are 10 and 40.40 > 10
- Decide. The class with range 40 is more spread out.spread out
- Write the answer. The class with range 40
Check. Both means are 60, so the spread is the difference.
Method. Mean and range measure different things.
- Think about the mean. The mean measures the typical value.mean = typical
- Think about the range. The range measures the spread, and it is not affected by the mean.range = spread
- Write the answer. Two classes can have very different means and ranges.No
Check. Example: 5, 5, 5 has mean 5 and range 0; 1, 9 has mean 5 and range 8.
Method. Consistency is shown by a smaller range.
- Compare the ranges. 2 is smaller than 8.2 < 8
- Decide. The class with range 2 is more consistent.more consistent
- Write the answer. The class with range 2
Check. Both have the same mean, so the range decides.
Method. Find each separately.
- Mean. (4 + 4 + 6 + 8 + 8) ÷ 5 = 30 ÷ 5 = 6.6
- Range. 8 − 4 = 4.4
- Write the answer. 6 and 4
Check. The mean is in the middle of the values.
Scatter graphs and correlation
A scatter graph plots pairs of values as points. Look at the pattern to describe the correlation:
- positive: as one value goes up, the other tends to go up;
- negative: as one value goes up, the other tends to go down;
- no correlation: there is no clear pattern.
A line of best fit is a straight line drawn by eye, close to most of the points, with about as many points above as below it.
Key ideas
- Each point is one pair of values (x, y).
- Positive correlation: the points go up from left to right.
- Negative correlation: the points go down from left to right.
- No correlation: the points have no clear pattern.
Method. Look at the direction of the points.
- Look at the pattern. The points go up as we move to the right.up to the right
- Name the correlation. When both values rise together, the correlation is positive.positive
- Write the answer. Positive correlation
Check. More hours tend to go with higher marks.
Method. Look at how the two values move together.
- Look at the pattern. As one value goes up, the other goes down.down to the right
- Name the correlation. This is a negative correlation.negative
- Write the answer. Negative correlation
Check. Older cars tend to be worth less.
Method. If there is no pattern, there is no correlation.
- Look at the pattern. The points are scattered with no clear direction.no pattern
- Name the correlation. So there is no correlation.none
- Write the answer. No correlation
Check. Shoe size does not predict the test score here.
Watch out
Watch out: correlation does not show that one thing causes the other. Hours studied and marks may be related, but other things also affect marks.
Exam tip
Exam tip. Describe the correlation in words, and say what it means in the context of the question. Do not write only “positive”.
Exercise 13D Scatter graphs and correlation
Non-calculatorMethod. Look at the pattern of the points.
- Look at the points. The points rise from left to right.rising
- Name the correlation. So the correlation is positive: more hours go with higher marks.positive
- Write the answer. Positive correlation
Check. Each point is higher than the one before.
Method. The points rise to the right.
- Look at the direction. The points rise to the right.up to the right
- Write the answer. This is positive correlation.Positive correlation
Check. Warmer days tend to have higher sales.
Method. The points fall to the right.
- Look at the direction. The points fall to the right.down to the right
- Write the answer. This is negative correlation.Negative correlation
Check. Older cars tend to have lower values.
Method. No pattern means no correlation.
- Look at the pattern. The points are scattered with no clear direction.no pattern
- Write the answer. No correlation
Check. There is no clear link between the two values.
Method. Look at how y changes as x increases.
- Look at the points. As x goes up, y goes down.y falls
- Write the answer. This is negative correlation.Negative correlation
Check. The points fall from top left to bottom right.
Method. The points form a pattern.
- Look at the line. The points lie along a straight line sloping up.straight, rising
- Name the correlation. The points follow the line closely, so the correlation is strong and positive.strong positive
- Write the answer. Strong positive correlation
Check. The closer the points to a line, the stronger the correlation.
Method. Correlation does not prove cause.
- Look at the graph. The graph shows that the two values are related.related
- Check the cause. Other things, such as sleep or how well a pupil understands the topic, may also affect marks.other factors
- Write the answer. Ali is not right: correlation does not prove cause.No
Check. A relationship is not proof that one causes the other.
Method. Look at the points.
- Look at the pattern. As x goes up, y goes up.rising
- Name the correlation. So the correlation is positive.positive
- Write the answer. Positive correlation
Check. y rises as x rises.
Method. Think about what else affects marks.
- Look at the scatter. The points do not lie exactly on one line.not exact
- Explain. Other things affect the marks, such as sleep, or how hard the test was.other factors
- Write the answer. Other factors affect marks
Check. Correlation is about the overall pattern, not exact points.
Line of best fit, interpolation and extrapolation
Interpolation means using the line to estimate a value inside the range of the data. It is usually reliable.
Extrapolation means using the line to estimate a value outside the range of the data. It is less reliable, because the pattern may not continue.
Key ideas
- Interpolation: inside the data range, usually reliable.
- Extrapolation: outside the data range, less reliable.
- Use the line of best fit, not a single point, for a prediction.
- Check the units and the meaning of the values in the answer.
Method. Put x = 4.5 into the line, which is inside the data range (1 to 8).
- Put x = 4.5 into the line. y = 5 × 4.5 + 40.5 × 4.5 + 40
- Work it out. 5 × 4.5 = 22.5, then 22.5 + 40 = 62.5.62.5
- Write the answer. 4.5 hours is inside the data range, so this is interpolation.62.5 marks
Check. The prediction is between the marks for 4 and 5 hours.
Method. Put x = 12 into the line, which is outside the data range.
- Put x = 12 into the line. y = 5 × 12 + 40.5 × 12 + 40
- Work it out. 60 + 40 = 100.100
- Decide. 12 hours is outside the data, so this is extrapolation and is less reliable.extrapolation
- Write the answer. 100 marks, but not reliable
Check. A mark of 100 may not be possible, and the pattern may change.
Method. Put x = 6 into the line. The value 6 is inside the data range (1 to 8), so this is interpolation.
- Put x = 6 into the line. y = 5 × 6 + 40.5 × 6 + 40
- Work it out. 30 + 40 = 70.70
- Decide. 6 hours is inside the data, so this is interpolation and is usually reliable.interpolation
- Write the answer. 70 marks, reliable
Check. 70 is between the marks for 5 and 8 hours.
Watch out
Watch out: extrapolation can give silly answers. A mark above 100 is not possible, so the prediction must be checked against the context.
Exam tip
Exam tip. Say whether your prediction is interpolation (reliable) or extrapolation (less reliable), and give a reason.
Exercise 13E Line of best fit, interpolation and extrapolation
Non-calculatorMethod. Put x = 4 into the line.
- Put in x. 5 × 4 + 40.5 × 4 + 40
- Work out. 20 + 40 = 60.60
- Write the answer. 60
Check. 60 is between the marks for 3 and 5 hours.
Method. Put x = 4.5 into the line.
- Put in x. 5 × 4.5 + 40.5 × 4.5 + 40
- Work out. 22.5 + 40 = 62.5.62.5
- Write the answer. 62.5
Check. This is between the marks for 4 and 5 hours.
Method. 12 hours is outside the data range of 1 to 8 hours.
- Put in x. 5 × 12 + 40 = 100.100
- Decide. Outside the data, so it is extrapolation.extrapolation
- Write the answer. 100, extrapolation
Check. Extrapolation is less reliable.
Method. Put x = 6 into the line.
- Put in x. 3 × 6 + 10.3 × 6 + 10
- Work out. 18 + 10 = 28.28
- Write the answer. 28
Check. 28 pence is the predicted cost.
Method. Check the range of the data.
- Look at the data range. The data is for 1 to 8 hours.1 to 8 hours
- Compare. 0 is outside this range.0 < 1
- Write the answer. So this is extrapolation, not interpolation.No, it is extrapolation
Check. 0 hours is outside the data.
Method. Think about the data and the context.
- Look at the range. The data goes up to 8 hours, so 20 is far outside it.20 is outside
- Think about the pattern. The pattern may not continue, and marks cannot go above 100.may not continue
- Write the answer. Not reliable
Check. A straight line may not fit values far outside the data.
Method. Put x = 5 in the line, then check whether 5 is inside the range.
- Put in x. 2 × 5 + 30 = 40.40
- Check the range. 5 is between 1 and 10, so it is inside the data.interpolation
- Write the answer. y = 40, and it is reliable
Check. 5 is inside the range, so this is interpolation.
Method. Think about how the line is drawn.
- Look at the method. The line is drawn by eye, close to most points.by eye
- Compare. Different people draw slightly different lines, so the predictions may differ a little.differ slightly
- Write the answer. Lines drawn by eye can differ
Check. The predictions should be close if the lines fit the data well.
Chapter summary
| Skill | Method |
|---|---|
| Mean | Total ÷ number of values |
| Median | Middle value after ordering (average of the two middle values if needed) |
| Mode and range | Most common value; biggest − smallest |
| Estimated mean from a grouped table | Sum of (f × midpoint) ÷ sum of f |
| Modal and median class | Highest frequency; class where the running total reaches (n + 1) ÷ 2 |
| Correlation | Positive (rising), negative (falling), or none (no pattern) |
| Interpolation and extrapolation | Inside the data range: reliable. Outside: less reliable |
Can you…?
- I can find the mean, median, mode and range of a list
- I can find midpoints and estimate a mean from a grouped table
- I can find the modal class and the median class
- I can compare two sets of data using an average and the range
- I can plot a scatter graph and describe the correlation
- I can use a line of best fit to interpolate and extrapolate, and say when a prediction is not reliable
Key terms
- mean
- the total divided by the number of values
- median
- the middle value when the values are in order
- mode
- the value that appears most often
- range
- the biggest value minus the smallest value
- midpoint
- the middle value of a class, halfway between its two ends
- modal class
- the class with the highest frequency
- scatter graph
- a graph that plots pairs of values as points
- correlation
- how the two values in a scatter graph are related
- line of best fit
- a straight line drawn by eye, close to most of the points
Exercise 13Z Check-up
Non-calculatorMethod. The mean is the total divided by the number of values.
- Add the values. Find the total of all the values.4 + 6 + 8 + 10 + 12 = 40
- Count the values. There are 5 values.n = 5
- Divide. Mean = total ÷ number of values.40 ÷ 5 = 8
- Write the answer. 8
Check. 8 × 5 = 40, the total.
Method. Put the values in order, then find the middle.
- Put the values in order. Write them from smallest to largest.1, 3, 5, 7, 9
- Find the middle. The middle value is the 3th value.n = 5
- Write the answer. 5
Check. There are 2 values below and 2 above the median.
Method. The mode is the value that appears most often.
- Count how often each value appears. Tally the values.2: 1, 4: 2, 6: 3, 8: 1
- Find the biggest count. The biggest count is 3.3
- Write the answer. 6
Check. Check: the value 6 appears 3 times, more than any other.
Method. The range is the biggest value minus the smallest value.
- Find the biggest value. Look for the largest number.15
- Find the smallest value. Look for the smallest number.3
- Subtract. Range = biggest − smallest.15 − 3 = 12
- Write the answer. 12
Check. 3 + 12 = 15.
Method. Estimate the mean with the midpoints: multiply each frequency by the midpoint, add, and divide by the total frequency.
- Find the midpoint of each class. The midpoint is the middle of the class, the mean of its two ends.5, 15, 25, 35
- Multiply each frequency by its midpoint. This gives an estimate of the total for each class.4 × 5 = 20, 6 × 15 = 90, 8 × 25 = 200, 2 × 35 = 70
- Add the totals. The total of all the frequencies is 20.Σfx = 380
- Divide. Estimated mean = Σfx ÷ Σf.380 ÷ 20 = 19
- Write the answer. 19
Check. The estimate is close to the mean of the midpoints weighted by the frequencies.
Method. The modal class is the class with the highest frequency.
- Find the highest frequency. Look down the frequency column.highest = 8
- Find its class. Read across to the class.20 < t ≤ 30
- Write the answer. 20 < t ≤ 30
Check. The modal class is the class, not the frequency.
Method. Look at the direction.
- Look at the direction. The points fall as we move to the right.falling
- Write the answer. Negative correlation
Check. One value goes up as the other goes down.
Method. Put x = 3 in the line.
- Put in x. 4 × 3 + 20 = 12 + 20.12 + 20
- Write the answer. 32
Check. 32 is the predicted value.
Method. Find each mean.
- First class. (10 + 12 + 14) ÷ 3 = 12.12
- Second class. (11 + 12 + 13) ÷ 3 = 12.12
- Write the answer. They are equal, both 12
Check. The first class has the bigger range, so its scores vary more.
Total 25 marks. Allow about 25 minutes.
Exercise 13X Exam-style questions
Non-calculatorMethod. Find each separately.
- Mean. (3 + 8 + 5 + 10 + 4) ÷ 5 = 30 ÷ 5 = 6.6
- Median. In order: 3, 4, 5, 8, 10. The middle value is 5.5
- Write the answer. 6 and 5
Check. The median is the middle of the ordered list.
Method. Estimate the mean with the midpoints: multiply each frequency by the midpoint, add, and divide by the total frequency.
- Find the midpoint of each class. The midpoint is the middle of the class, the mean of its two ends.2, 7, 12, 17
- Multiply each frequency by its midpoint. This gives an estimate of the total for each class.2 × 2 = 4, 2 × 7 = 14, 4 × 12 = 48, 2 × 17 = 34
- Add the totals. The total of all the frequencies is 10.Σfx = 100
- Divide. Estimated mean = Σfx ÷ Σf.100 ÷ 10 = 10
- Write the answer. 10
Check. The estimate is close to the mean of the midpoints weighted by the frequencies.
Method. The median is in the class that contains the middle position, (n + 1) ÷ 2.
- Find the position of the median. n = 10, so the median is at position (10 + 1) ÷ 2 = 11/2.position 11/2
- Add the frequencies up to each class. Find the class where the running total reaches the position.running totals
- Write the answer. 10 – 14
Check. Check the running total before the class is below the position.
Method. A smaller range means more consistent marks.
- Compare the ranges. 12 is smaller than 30.12 < 30
- Decide. Class Y has the smaller range.Y is more consistent
- Write the answer. Class Y, because it has the smaller range.
Check. The means are the same, so the range decides.
Method. The points rise to the right.
- Look at the pattern. Sales rise as sunshine increases.rising
- Name the correlation. So the correlation is positive.positive
- Write the answer. Positive correlation
Check. More sunshine goes with more sales.
Method. Put x = 10 into the line, then check the range.
- Put in x. 3 × 10 + 12 = 42.42
- Check the range. 10 is outside the data from 1 to 5, so this is extrapolation.extrapolation
- Write the answer. y = 42, extrapolation
Check. The prediction may be less reliable.
Method. Think about what correlation means.
- Look at the pattern. The overall pattern is positive, but not every point follows it exactly.general pattern
- Explain. Some points may be above or below the trend because of other factors.other factors
- Write the answer. Correlation is a general pattern
Check. Correlation describes the trend, not each point.
Method. Estimate the mean with the midpoints: multiply each frequency by the midpoint, add, and divide by the total frequency.
- Find the midpoint of each class. The midpoint is the middle of the class, the mean of its two ends.2, 7, 12, 17
- Multiply each frequency by its midpoint. This gives an estimate of the total for each class.1 × 2 = 2, 3 × 7 = 21, 4 × 12 = 48, 2 × 17 = 34
- Add the totals. The total of all the frequencies is 10.Σfx = 105
- Divide. Estimated mean = Σfx ÷ Σf.105 ÷ 10 = 21/2
- Write the answer. 21/2
Check. The estimate is close to the mean of the midpoints weighted by the frequencies.
Method. The range is the biggest minus the smallest. Use the range to find the biggest value.
- Write the rule. Range = biggest − smallest.6 = biggest − 4
- Solve. Biggest = 6 + 4.biggest = 10
- Write the answer. 10
Check. The range is 10 − 4 = 6.